117 → 82 kg / your line vs the model

Weigh in at the same time of day (morning, post-toilet, pre-food) so you're comparing like with like — daily noise is ±1–2 kg of water. The trend is the signal, and the real KPI isn't on the scale at all: it's how many days you stuck to the plan. Beating the dashed line is a bonus, not the job.